15
Kelrapide Du Lupin
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Atalante - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength11%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 13-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 93% | -0.03 |
| 20/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |