17
Klems De Javie
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Atalante - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#18
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Graignes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Vincennes | 4 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 02/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 76% | +0.50 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 07/02/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 21/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |