12
Joey Du Noyer
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ludovica - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength25%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Les Sables | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 21/12/2025 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 28/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 18/01/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 09/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 05/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 94% | -0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |