13
Johnny Mix
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ludovica - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Montier-En-Der | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Nancy | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-11 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 92% | -0.01 |
| 13/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 93% | +0.35 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |