3
Jytrace De Houelle
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Ludovica - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Reims | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-01-31 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-30 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 15/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 73% | +0.04 |