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4

Maya Gerbehaye

4yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Hip'poker Tour (prix Andromeda) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#5

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 12811/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 25/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 128C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13411/01C?2 @ Vincennes 24/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 010/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 20/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/033C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 1342 @ Chartres 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0 · HIGHER CLASS11/092projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chartres28th7th+1
2026-04-14Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-04-04Vincennes2+1
2026-03-20Vincennes37th7th0
2026-02-22Vincennes?4th4th0
2026-02-10Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1224/0120/0311/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20254th9/276%77%+0.01
25/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
11/01/20263rd17/255%67%+0.11
24/01/20264th11/142%75%+0.33
10/02/20269th40/10%43%+0.43
22/02/20264th80/10%77%+0.77
20/03/20267th20/10%54%+0.54
14/04/20263rd18/15%85%+0.79
11/09/20268th50/10%36%+0.36