13
Merry River
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Hip'poker Tour (prix Andromeda) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 17/01/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 29/01/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 10/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 16/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 05/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 69% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |