1
Molly Du Vallon
4yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Hip'poker Tour (prix Andromeda) - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 15th | 16th | −1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 7th | 9th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 14/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 58% | +0.16 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 11/09/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |