8
Newton De Mongochy
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Etamin - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 5 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/08/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 10% | -0.43 |
| 15/09/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |