5
Norton Elce
3yo Colt · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Etamin - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 55% | -0.36 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |