Manaslu
4yo Colt · 9-13
Vincennes · Prix Lilius - Monte · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Vincennes | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 1 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 1 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2024 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 23/02/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 18/04/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 06/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |