2
Iron Spirit
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Eliane De Bellaigue - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#11
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲13
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 12.9 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 18
Recent avg: C18.0
Today: 5
Class gap: -13.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Vincennes | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Vincennes | 18 | 12th | 28th | −13 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/09/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/10/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 16/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/09/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 21/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |