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5

Amalou

3yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 53

Wolverhampton · bet365 Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved a different proposition in blinkers when making her second handicap start a winning one at Windsor, pulling clear with runner-up on long run-in. A sharper track may not be ideal, however, she's relatively fresh/unexposed and certainly interesting if headgear has a similar effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newbury 24/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0625 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/1055 @ Southwell 26/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/1156 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m4f Std 132 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 51 par22/086OR 516 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 49 · 1m3f99y Goo 122 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 49 par14/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor61st1st0
2026-08-22Lingfield68th8th0
2025-11-26Southwell511th10th+1
2025-10-28Wolverhampton58th7th+1
2025-06-24Newbury29th4th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0628/1026/1122/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20259th28/10%0%0.00
28/10/20258th100/10%0%0.00
26/11/202511th250/10%23%+0.23
22/08/20268th15/261%13%-0.48
14/09/20261st22/10%100%+1.00