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3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · bet365 Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 51y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't beaten a rival to date, latterly in first-time cheekpieces on qualifying run at Lingfield (1¼m, 125/1). Hard to be confident she'll make an impact now handicapping over even further.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength26%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 9.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 30/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/1055 @ Lingfield 03/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/1254 @ Lingfield 25/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Lingfield47th5th+2
2025-12-03Lingfield512th11th+1
2025-10-30Chelmsford City510th9th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/103/1225/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/202510th80/10%0%0.00
03/12/202512th300/10%0%0.00
25/08/20267th125/10%0%0.00