4
Forever Perfect
3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 54
Wolverhampton · bet365 Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
80%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Redcar | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 30/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 09/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |