8
Skirt Around
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 50
Wolverhampton · bet365 Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 51y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Newcastle | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Wetherby | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-24 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/09/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |