9

Classic Bellini

2yo Filly · 8-13

Wolverhampton · Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y

#7

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#7

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped better than first time up when third of 6 in 5½f novice at Wetherby (firm) in June and must enter calculations back from a break, especially with her yard amongst the winners.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Thirsk 16/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS16/0545 @ Wetherby 04/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 5f110y Goo 1224/065projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Wetherby53rd3rd0
2026-05-16Thirsk47th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/054/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -43.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
04/06/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02