6

Decem Carolinae

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fared best of the newcomers when staying on for sixth in 13-runner maiden at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) in June. However, went backwards from that opening effort at Windsor 11 weeks later. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f3y GF 12826/0655 @ Windsor 07/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 1257/095projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Windsor59th9th0
2026-06-26Yarmouth56th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -56.7% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20266th14/126%58%+0.32
07/09/20269th7/163%38%-0.25