7
Sable Island
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 59
Wolverhampton · Rockspur CIC EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 5f 21y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 17/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 07/09/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |