7
Ventana
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 70
Wolverhampton · bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f 20y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -20.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |