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4

Hayynah

3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 70

Wolverhampton · Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Put experience to good use to get off the mark in Southwell novice (5f) in February but has failed to make a significant impact in handicaps since despite a falling mark. Market may provide clues.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Sandown 24/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS24/0715 @ Wolverhampton 19/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark19/08/2025 · OR 83 par4 @ Newcastle 04/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 83 · 6f Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 83 par4/024OR 834 @ Southwell 24/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 80 · 4f214y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 81 · 4f214y Std 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 81 par11/044OR 814 @ Chester 30/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 80 · 6f17y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 78 · 6f12y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 78 par15/064OR 784 @ Windsor 13/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 76 · 6f12y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/07/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f20y Std 136 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 73 par18/095OR 73projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Wolverhampton56th6th0
2026-07-13Windsor410th9th+1
2026-06-15Windsor45th4th+1
2026-05-30Chester410th9th+1
2026-04-11Southwell47th6th+1
2026-02-24Southwell41st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0724/0215/0618/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20256th4/179%29%-0.50
19/08/20252nd4/797%80%-0.17
04/02/20262nd10/1195%89%-0.06
24/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
11/04/20267th13/266%0%-0.66
30/05/202610th25/10%10%+0.10
15/06/20265th40/10%60%+0.60
13/07/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
18/09/20266th40/10%44%+0.44