1
Holbache
8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 70
Wolverhampton · Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 20y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Beverley | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Catterick | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-06 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 09/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/10/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 06/01/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 13/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |