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8

Pull The Rug

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 65

Wolverhampton · Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 1) · 6f 20y

#6

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked unlucky not to win when second at Chepstow in August and has subsequently shaped better than the result on 2 of her last 3 starts, hampered leaving stalls when fifth at Bath last time. May need the rub of the green but is respected from this mark with cheekpieces added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 71 · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/10/2025 · OR 71 par17/104OR 715 @ Catterick 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f212y Gd 127 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Thirsk 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 69 · 5f Gd 134 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 69 par5/065OR 695 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 69 · 6f Goo 129 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Windsor 27/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f12y GF 133 · beat its mark27/07/2026 · OR 68 par27/075OR 685 @ Chepstow 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 68 · 6f16y GF 132 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 68 par21/085OR 685 @ Salisbury 11/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 67 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Bath 29/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 65 · 5f160y GF 128 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 65 par29/095OR 65projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-29Bath55th5th0
2026-09-11Salisbury510th10th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las54th4th0
2026-08-06Chepstow52nd2nd0
2026-07-27Windsor54th4th0
2026-06-16Thirsk59th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1016/0621/0829/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20255th11/142%43%+0.01
11/05/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
05/06/20264th7/163%70%+0.07
16/06/20269th15/261%20%-0.41
27/07/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
06/08/20262nd11/142%67%+0.25
21/08/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
11/09/202610th11/142%18%-0.24
29/09/20265th28/10%56%+0.56