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3

Queen Sana

3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 70

Wolverhampton · Franklin Hodge Handicap (Div 2) · 6f 20y

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

97%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Justified support in first-time cheekpieces to belatedly get off the mark in 6-runner maiden at Catterick (6f, good) last month, albeit left with a simple task due to the underperformance of her main market rival. Back in a handicap from just 1 lb higher and can kick on now up and running.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 07/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 69 · 6f16y Std 134 · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 69 par7/045OR 695 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 67 · 5f21y Goo 132 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ Bath 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 67 · 5f160y Fm 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 67 par12/054OR 675 @ Pontefract 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f3y Goo 130 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 5f3y Goo 136 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 70 par29/065OR 704 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 69 · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 69 par4 @ Ripon 03/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 69 par3/084OR 695 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f6y Std 136 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 5f212y Goo 128 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 67 par8/095OR 67projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Catterick51st1st0
2026-08-20Lingfield57th7th0
2026-08-03Ripon44th3rd+1
2026-07-14Ffos Las42nd1st+1
2026-06-29Pontefract56th6th0
2026-06-02Pontefract52nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/042/063/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/04/202611th17/255%9%-0.46
04/05/20262nd18/15%89%+0.84
12/05/20262nd9/488%67%-0.21
02/06/20262nd4/179%83%+0.04
29/06/20266th3/184%29%-0.56
14/07/20262nd3/184%83%-0.01
03/08/20264th8/1397%40%-0.57
20/08/20267th3/184%0%-0.84
08/09/20261st6/492%100%+0.08