4

Last Verse

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 82

Wolverhampton · Nuvo Audit Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 51y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won easily on all-weather debut over 13f at Lingfield in August and then bumped into a thriving rival when second of 4 over 1¾m at this track 25 days ago. Should have no problem dropping back to this trip and can go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Haydock 23/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 6f212y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS23/0532 @ York 28/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Goodwood 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR - · 1m Hvy 133 · HIGHER CLASS2/0925 @ Lingfield 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m2f Goo 133 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 73 par5 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 71 · 1m4f Goo 131 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 71 par3/075OR 714 @ Sandown 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 77 · 1m6f Goo 135 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 77 par3 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 76 · 1m3f211y GF 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 76 par8/083OR 765 @ Lingfield 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m5f Std 135 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 82 · 1m6f Std 134 · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 82 par7/094OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Wolverhampton42nd2nd0
2026-08-22Lingfield51st2nd−1
2026-08-08Ascot39th8th+1
2026-07-29Sandown43rd3rd0
2026-07-03Chepstow51st2nd−1
2026-06-18Lingfield58th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0518/068/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20253rd4/179%50%-0.29
28/06/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
02/09/20253rd7/491%0%-0.91
18/06/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
03/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
29/07/20263rd13/266%33%-0.32
08/08/20269th66/10%11%+0.11
22/08/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
07/09/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15