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2

Model Yuko

4yo Filly · 10-1 · OR 84

Wolverhampton · Nuvo Audit Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 51y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not kicked on this year having continued to race freely, though was likely out of depth in listed company last time. Now returns to the scene of her win faced with more realistic company so could fare better, but longer trip poses questions.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 29/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m143y Std 12729/0454 @ Leicester 27/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m53y GS 12827/0545 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m142y Std 12816/0652 @ Goodwood 30/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 85 · 1m1f197y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 85 par30/072OR 85C1 @ ParisLongchamp 04/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m2f96y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 87 par4/09C1OR 873 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m2f70y Goo 139 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 87 par27/063OR 871 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 86 · 1m6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 86 par26/071OR 86projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Pontefract16th2nd+3
2026-06-27Chester37th6th+1
2025-09-04ParisLongchamp?8th4th+3
2025-07-30Goodwood23rd1st+2
2025-06-16Wolverhampton51st2nd−1
2025-05-27Leicester43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0430/0726/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -8.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20254th7/163%63%-0.01
27/05/20253rd16/116%78%+0.62
16/06/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
30/07/20253rd8/158%85%+0.27
04/09/20258th15/261%13%-0.48
27/06/20267th11/142%14%-0.28
26/07/20266th33/10%0%0.00