Nolton Cross
7yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 85
Wolverhampton · Nuvo Audit Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 51y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Southwell | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Hamilton | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Newmarket | 2 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |