5
Quiet Summer
3yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 79
Wolverhampton · Nuvo Audit Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 51y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength60%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Newcastle | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Kempton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Haydock | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -28.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 33% | -0.56 |