Bold Suitor
9yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73
Wolverhampton · Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap · 7f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Ascot | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 02/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/09/2026 | 6th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |