North View
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 71
Wolverhampton · Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap · 7f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Brighton | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 4 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 15/05/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 01/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 18/09/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |