Red Hat Eagle
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69
Wolverhampton · Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thirsk | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Ascot | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Yarmouth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 11/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |