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3

This Farh

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 74

Wolverhampton · Appleby Mall Accountants Handicap · 7f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A winner at Leicester and Beverley earlier in the season. in May. Shaped as if better for the run when sixth of 10 in handicap at latter course (7.3f, good to firm) 10 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 14/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 74 · 7f1y Std 134 · below its mark14/01/2026 · OR 74 par14/015OR 745 @ Chelmsford City 26/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 72 · 7f Std 132 · beat its mark26/02/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Lingfield 20/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 70 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 70 par20/035OR 705 @ Leicester 13/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 7f Gd 129 · beat its mark13/04/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 72 · 6f Goo 132 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 72 par9/055OR 725 @ Beverley 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 72 · 7f96y Goo 132 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 72 par4 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 75 · 7f16y Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 75 par6/064OR 755 @ Beverley 23/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 75 · 7f96y Goo 142 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 75 par4 @ Beverley 22/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f75y Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 74 par22/094OR 74projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-22Beverley46th5th+1
2026-06-23Beverley55th5th0
2026-06-06Chepstow44th3rd+1
2026-05-27Beverley51st1st0
2026-05-09Leicester54th4th0
2026-04-13Leicester51st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0113/046/0622/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength40%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20266th15/261%29%-0.32
26/02/20264th10/147%57%+0.10
20/03/20266th13/266%44%-0.21
13/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
09/05/20264th9/488%25%-0.63
27/05/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
06/06/20264th7/163%67%+0.04
23/06/20265th9/488%20%-0.68
22/09/20266th18/15%44%+0.39