4
Darzah
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 81
Wolverhampton · bet365 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 142y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Pontefract | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -13.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |