5
Foxy Night
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 78
Wolverhampton · bet365 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 142y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Hamilton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Carlisle | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -12.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 91% | +0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 78% | -0.16 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |