3
Great Mates
4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 77
Wolverhampton · bet365 Fillies' Handicap · 1m 142y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Nottingham | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Newmarket | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 44% | -0.27 |
| 06/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 22/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 09/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 02/07/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 03/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |