10
Banana
7yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 47
Wolverhampton · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap · 5f 21y
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 22/09/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 30/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 15/09/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |