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6

Fancy Dancer

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 51

Wolverhampton · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap · 5f 21y

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner who didn't go down without a fight when second of 8 in handicap at Bath (5f, good to firm) 30 days ago. Should go well again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 18/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 62 · 5f Std 132 · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 62 par18/126OR 625 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Nottingham 03/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 58 · 6f18y Goo 133 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 58 par3/066OR 586 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 55 · 5f160y Fm 131 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 55 par7/076OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 31/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 50 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 50 par4 @ Newmarket 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f GF 114 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 49 par15/084OR 496 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 49 · 5f21y Std 130 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 49 · 5f10y Goo 130 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 49 par2/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Bath62nd2nd0
2026-08-26Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-08-15Newmarket410th8th+2
2026-07-31Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-07-01Bath68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/121/0715/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/12/20255th8/158%33%-0.25
16/05/20265th28/10%33%+0.33
03/06/20267th14/126%25%-0.01
01/07/20268th10/147%0%-0.47
07/07/20265th8/158%50%-0.08
31/07/20262nd3/184%80%-0.04
15/08/202610th200/10%0%0.00
26/08/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09
02/09/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15