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5

Honour Your Dreams

6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 52

Wolverhampton · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap · 5f 21y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Eighteen runs since last win in 2025 but continues to ease in the weights and wasn't disgraced taking into account his wide draw when sixth of 17 in handicap at Bath (5.7f, good to soft) 19 days ago. Not dismissed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 25/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 60 · 5f6y Std 135 · beat its mark25/02/2026 · OR 60 par25/026OR 606 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 59 · 5f6y Std 129 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 59 · 5f21y Goo 134 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 59 par7/056OR 596 @ Lingfield 04/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 56 · 5f6y Std 126 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 57 · 5f21y GF 132 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 57 par22/066OR 576 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 56 · 5f60y GF 130 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 par28/076OR 556 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 53 · 5f160y Goo 133 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 53 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 53 · 5f160y GS 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 53 par13/092OR 53projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath26th1st+4
2026-09-02Bath62nd2nd0
2026-07-28Ffos Las65th5th0
2026-07-07Brighton64th4th0
2026-06-22Windsor69th9th0
2026-06-04Lingfield62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/024/0628/0713/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength90%

Delivery trend +5.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
30/04/20264th15/261%25%-0.36
07/05/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
04/06/20262nd9/153%83%+0.31
22/06/20269th9/153%27%-0.25
07/07/20264th20/10%25%+0.25
28/07/20265th10/147%50%+0.03
02/09/20262nd6/168%88%+0.19
13/09/20266th25/10%69%+0.69