3

Sheik Yerbouti

5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 54

Wolverhampton · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap · 5f 21y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden who quickly got back on track returned to all-weather when fifth of 9 in handicap over C&D (18/1) 17 days ago. Has each-way claims if building on that run.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m Sta 142 · HIGHER CLASS11/0244 @ Salisbury 23/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 142 · HIGHER CLASS23/0544 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f21y Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS16/0646 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 59 · 5f Gd 134 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 59 par12/086OR 596 @ Wolverhampton 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 56 · 5f21y Std 132 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 56 par15/096OR 56projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-08-12Ffos Las67th7th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton43rd1st+2
2026-05-23Salisbury411th9th+2
2026-02-11Kempton48th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0223/0516/0612/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20268th150/10%0%0.00
23/05/202611th200/10%9%+0.09
16/06/20263rd200/10%71%+0.71
12/08/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
15/09/20265th18/15%50%+0.45