Teardrops
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap · 5f 21y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Newcastle | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 27/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 19/05/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |