3

Frankness

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 69

Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS18/04C7C7 @ Woodbine 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 77 par15/05C7OR 77C7 @ Woodbine 18/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 70 · 7f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 70 par18/06C7OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 5f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 77 par7/09C7OR 77projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2026-06-18Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-05-15Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-04-18Woodbine?2nd0th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0415/0518/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20262nd1/195%83%-0.11
15/05/20266th5/287%17%-0.70
18/06/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
07/09/20265th11/1094%20%-0.74