6

Up N The Ante

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 70

Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/5

Win Prob

88%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength66%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS18/04C7C7 @ Woodbine 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 75 · 7f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 75 par7/06C7OR 75C7 @ Woodbine 21/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 72 · 5f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/06/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 77 par5/07C7OR 77C7 @ Woodbine 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 74 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 73 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/08/2026 · OR 73 par23/08C7OR 73C7 @ Woodbine 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 71 · 5f Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 71 par7/09C7OR 71projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Woodbine?2nd0th+2
2026-08-23Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-07-18Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2026-07-05Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2026-06-21Woodbine?3rd1st+2
2026-06-07Woodbine?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0421/0623/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
03/05/20263rd7/163%71%+0.08
07/06/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
21/06/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
05/07/20265th8/158%43%-0.15
18/07/20264th3/184%25%-0.59
23/08/20266th9/153%17%-0.36
07/09/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06