7
Featherweight
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 62
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength17%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2024 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 25% | -0.63 |
| 26/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 17/07/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 29/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |