Instant Response
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 11% | -0.68 |
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 33% | -0.52 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 19/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |