Screen Scene
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 61
Woodbine · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +11.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |