5
Arabian Prince
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength58%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 20% | -0.71 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 12/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |