3
Happy Quad
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 22/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/08/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 18/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |