2
Heaven's Champion
4yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength57%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 13% | -0.77 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |