7
Moon Landing
6yo Horse · 8-11 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 30/11/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 56% | -0.18 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |