Adorable Angel
4yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 31/07/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 24/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |